Giving Evidence today publishes new research showing that Prince Andrew’s patronage of UK charities had no discernible effect. This is reported in The Times here. Thread about that here. Prince William was reported as taking a “forensic interest” in this research(!)
This follows research that we published in 2020 which looked at the charity patronages of seven senior working Royals, which also found no discernible effect on the charities’ revenue. (Twitter thread about this.) That previous research looked at when patronages started; this recent research looks at when they ended, i.e., uses a different data-set to investigate the same question.
In other words, charities may be wasting their time in seeking, securing and servicing a Royal patron. (We realise that some charities don’t choose to have a Royal patron, e.g., the Royal Society always has the monarch as patron & has done since its founding in the C17th.)
When Prince Andrew “stepped back” from all public duties after his Newsnight interview in November 2019, all his patronages ended suddenly and simultaneously. That ‘discontinuity’ is a “natural experiment” which Giving Evidence has used to see the effect of his charity patronages.


We used complex statistical analyses, to see whether anything happened to the revenue of Prince Andrew’s patronee charities before and after the patronage ended which did not also happen to all other charities. (Those latter serve as a control group.)
It didn’t.
We ran six linear regression difference-in-differences analyses, none of which could detect any effect of Prince Andrew’s patronage on the charities’ revenue.
The findings
Here are the results. Our six analyses are: three models, which variously account for differences over time and between sector (health, education, etc.); and we ran each one twice, for Prince Andrew’s patronee charities including vs. excluding the schools and universities which obviously raise funds differently to most charities.
In the graph, the horizontal lines show the range of possible effects of Prince Andrew’s patronage (to 95% certainty), indicated by each analysis. Lines that cross the vertical dotted line find no statistically significant effect.
They all do. Hence our conclusion that Prince Andrew’s patronage had no detectable effect on the charities’ revenue.
That result is sort-of visible to the naked eye: The graph below shows income (on a log scale, because charities’ revenue bounces around a lot so is a bit illegible) of Prince Andrew’s patronee charities (PPAs; in red) vs. all other charities in England and Wales (in grey). [Actually, here, we have removed the smallest ones & the largest ones: this is the inter-quartile range of both sets.] First – and this doesn’t matter – it’s clear that charities of which Prince Andrew was patron are much larger than most: over eight times larger. In 2020, we found that charities patronised by any of the seven senior Royals are ~30x larger than average.
More important is that when Prince Andrew stepped back in late 2019, nothing different seems to happen to the revenue of PPAs than to revenue of non-PPAs. If his patronage had really helped charities’ revenue, we’d expect to see some difference.
Full detail of Giving Evidence’s analysis is in the report, and the data and code are here. The research is also deposited in the Oxford (University) Research Archive, at the Bodleian Library, here.
[There are occasionally stories of the Royals creating costs for charities. The Telegraph reported that a charity had paid to fly Prince Andrew to New York for a fundraising event in 2001.]
How is this different to Giving Evidence’s previous research on the effect of Royal patrons?
This addresses the same question – ‘do they help? / how do they affect revenue?’ – but using a different dataset, and a dataset which is only newly available. The previous research, published in 2020, looked at changes to charities’ revenue when a patronage started; whereas this new research looked at changes to charities’ revenue when patronages ended. Both analyses use as comparators other charities (including the full set of all charities in the country).
Of what was Prince Andrew patron?
Good question. When we started our work in 2019, the Palace published a list of which Royal(s) were patron of what. It was incomplete, with inaccuracies, omissions & duplications. So Giving Evidence had to assemble that list ourselves. That took fully six person-weeks(!)
Now, under King Charles, the Palace publishes no such list at all. So Giving Evidence’s list of who is (or was) patron of what places us uniquely to do this work.
Anyway, Prince Andrew appears to have been patron of 59 UK-registered charities, plus dozens of non-charitable entities such as golf clubs, polo clubs and parts of the military. Our analysis included 35 patronee charities: some had to be excluded because the patronage had started too recently, and so on.
Oddly, given that Prince Andrew is Duke of York, only four were in Yorkshire, and none at all were in Wales, Northern Ireland or Scotland. Those regions are all also ‘under-patroned’ by the seven senior Royals (discussed in our research published in 2020).
Why does a Royal patronage not help revenue?
Possibly because they don’t comprise much. In 2020, we analysed the Court Circular (official Palace record of Royals’ activities) for 2019. Three-quarters (74%) of UK charities with Royal patrons did not get a single official engagement with them that year. In 2020, Kate Middleton only had nine patronee charities, yet it transpired that one of them hadn’t seen her for eight years – eight of the nine years since she became a Royal.
Most of the charities who got multiple official Royal engagements were founded by the Royals, e.g. The Prince’s Trust.
What about effects other than on revenue?
For our previous analysis, we explored analyzing the effect of Royal patronages on other outcome variables, such as charities’ reputations, staff morale, press mentions as well as revenue. In the end, revenue turned out to be the only one which was workable: the others are not reported publicly or measured in any consistent way – so there is no data-set to analyse – and/or the definitions are not clear (for example, with press mentions, one would need sentiment analysis to identify whether any mention was positive or negative, which was beyond the project’s resources).
By contrast, charities’ revenue is reported in a consistent way and to a regulator, i.e., the reported figures are likely to be correct.
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We hope that our research enables more evidence-based decisions by patrons, donors and charities, and hence more effective work for their intended beneficiaries.
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Background notes:
Giving Evidence’s research into Prince Andrew’s charity patronages was funded by The Human Rights Fund. It drew on Giving Evidence’s research published in 2020 which was funded by the Belgian Red Cross, Flanders, which has a demonstrated commitment to producing high-quality evidence to inform decisions of operational entities, in the Red Cross network and beyond. [Giving Evidence’s Director Caroline Fiennes is on a board of the Belgian Red Cross, Flanders.]
Giving Evidence works to increase the effectiveness of charitable resources, by enabling decisions based on sound evidence. Giving Evidence takes no position on the Royal Family.
Prince Andrew is the second son of the late Queen Elizabeth II: so, until the birth of Prince Charles’ first child (Prince William), Prince Andrew was second in line to the British throne. He is the Duke of York and often referred to by that title.
Contact: about this research: caroline.fiennes@giving-evidence.com, +44 7803 954512
















